{"id":441,"date":"2019-04-28T07:02:53","date_gmt":"2019-04-28T07:02:53","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/retirementhangout.com\/?p=441"},"modified":"2019-04-28T07:03:04","modified_gmt":"2019-04-28T07:03:04","slug":"retirement-what-could-go-wrong","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/retirementhangout.com\/index.php\/2019\/04\/28\/retirement-what-could-go-wrong\/","title":{"rendered":"Retirement \u2013 What Could Go Wrong?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter is-resized\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/retirementhangout.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/04\/Art-in-Clay-Jonah-and-the-Whale-2.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-448\" width=\"488\" height=\"368\" srcset=\"https:\/\/retirementhangout.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/04\/Art-in-Clay-Jonah-and-the-Whale-2.jpg 650w, https:\/\/retirementhangout.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/04\/Art-in-Clay-Jonah-and-the-Whale-2-300x227.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 488px) 100vw, 488px\" \/><figcaption><em>Jonah and the Whale<\/em> from Art in Clay<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>You\u2019ve worked hard for 30 or 40 years, raised a bunch of kids\nand launched them into adulthood, and now you\u2019re excited to embark on the next\nphase in your life \u2013 stepping back from the daily grind, traveling to far-off\nlands, having time to enjoy your hobbies, and trying new things.&nbsp; You\u2019ve managed to accumulate a tidy nest egg\nand, with Social Security, don\u2019t anticipate needing to withdraw more than 4% of\nit per year.&nbsp; (Bill Bengen would be proud!)&nbsp; Your mortgage is paid off, you have a plan\nfor the future, and you\u2019re still in love with your spouse.&nbsp; &nbsp;Things\nlook good.&nbsp; What could possibly go wrong?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Unfortunately, we all know the answer to this question.&nbsp; If there\u2019s one thing we can count on, it\u2019s that life won\u2019t unfold according to our carefully laid plans.&nbsp; Life-altering trials and disasters have been a theme in stories and song from time immemorial, afflicting the devout in the <em>Books of Job<\/em> and <em>Jonah; <\/em>the mighty in Homer\u2019s <em>Odyssey<\/em> and Shakespeare&#8217;s <em>King Lear; <\/em>and everyman (and woman) in mournful folk tales and songs, with their tales of woe.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>While tragedy and trial may inspire great literature and sappy country songs, it is something we generally try to avoid in our own lives.  Some of life\u2019s surprises have the potential to be downright catastrophic, bad enough to completely derail our carefully constructed financial plans and therefore our lives in retirement.\u00a0 We can anticipate some risks &#8212; such as fire or flood or health problems \u2013 although we don\u2019t know whether they will happen to us.\u00a0 These are the \u201cknown unknowns.\u201d\u00a0 Then there are the \u201cunknown unknowns\u201d \u2013 those disasters we can\u2019t even imagine today.\u00a0 I\u2019ll bet that being buried under a <em>lahar<\/em> from a reawakened Mt. Rainier, our picture-postcard mountain neighbor, is not on the radar of most people living in my city of Seattle.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.soa.org\/globalassets\/assets\/Files\/resources\/research-report\/2017\/shocks-inexpected-factor-retirement.pdf\">report from the Society of Actuaries<\/a>, one in five retirees has experienced four or more financial \u2018shocks\u2019 in retirement, with only 28% (just 13% of widowed retirees) experiencing no such shocks.\u00a0 The most common shocks were things like home repairs and unexpected dental expenses, but the most troublesome and difficult were long-term care, divorce, and long-term financial help to children.\u00a0 Widowhood itself was a shock, resulting in a drop in household income and other problems.\u00a0  <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This post seems to be heading in a dark direction, and you may be tempted to click away to something more pleasant, such as a viral cat video.&nbsp; (Although these can be bleak, too \u2013 check out <em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=0M7ibPk37_U&amp;list=PLHBwTIdCxa8HuEOdjG6hMO6QcgdarZy28\">Henri, the Cat with Ennui<\/a><\/em>.)&nbsp; Yes, life is full of risks, but what\u2019s the point in dwelling on them?&nbsp; After all, there\u2019s little or nothing we can do to prevent these things from happening, right?&nbsp; &nbsp;But wait &#8212; we may be powerless to prevent many bad things from happening \u2013 but we <em>can<\/em> take steps to keep these catastrophes from wrecking our finances and upending our lives.&nbsp; Good retirement planning doesn\u2019t mean just mapping out what happens if all goes well; it also means preparing as best you can for possible setbacks and disasters.&nbsp; If you\u2019ve been responsible enough to plan your retirement, you owe it to yourself to take some fairly simple steps to prepare for and mitigate some of the bigger risks out there.&nbsp; <\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote style=\"text-align:center\" class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p><em>\u201cGood retirement planning doesn\u2019t mean just mapping out what happens if all goes well\u201d<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>A word of warning: some suggestions for mitigating risk are going to make me sound like a shill for the insurance industry.\u00a0 Many people take an understandably jaundiced view of insurance companies, whose business model too often seems to consist of collecting money from people for years during good times, then looking for ways to deny claims when asked to pay up.\u00a0 But insurance exists for good reason.\u00a0 It allows individuals to pool risk and protect against low probability events with huge consequences.\u00a0\u00a0 A healthy person in his or her forties is unlikely to die anytime soon \u2013 but if he or she did, the effect of lost earnings on a young family could be financially devastating.\u00a0 Life insurance protects against this possibility, at a modest cost.\u00a0 While the expected value of the insurance (premiums vs. financial impact times likelihood of dying) may be negative, it\u2019s still worth it to most people to protect against the possibility of an untimely death and its devastating consequences on loved ones left behind.\u00a0  <\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote style=\"text-align:center\" class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p><em>\u201cInsurance exists for good reason.&nbsp; It allows individuals to pool risk and protect against low probability events with huge consequences.\u201d<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>Let\u2019s consider some specific risks and what you might do to\nprotect yourself against them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Fire, theft, and\nproperty damage<\/strong>.&nbsp; <\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"alignright is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/retirementhangout.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/04\/wracked_house_01.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-463\" width=\"400\" height=\"280\"\/><figcaption><em>Credit: Terry Gym Doc Brennan<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Most peoples\u2019 biggest tangible asset is their home.&nbsp; A fire or other disaster can cause hundreds\nof thousands of dollars worth of damage or even result in a total loss.&nbsp; Fortunately, the majority of people have this\nrisk covered via <strong><em>homeowners\u2019 insurance<\/em><\/strong>.&nbsp;\nMake sure you have adequate coverage for valuable items like jewelry,\nOriental carpets, and artwork.&nbsp; Review\nyour coverage every few years; you might be overinsured due to valuation\n\u201ccreep,\u201d or find that another insurer offers better coverage for less.&nbsp; In most states, you can check the complaint\nhistory of a new insurer you\u2019re considering with your state insurance\ncommissioner.&nbsp; <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&nbsp;If you don\u2019t own a\nhome, you might still consider <strong><em>renters\u2019 insurance<\/em><\/strong>.&nbsp;&nbsp; The loss of all your stuff might not be as\ndevastating as the loss of a home, but still could be surprisingly expensive to\nreplace.&nbsp; <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Natural disasters.<\/strong>&nbsp; <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>While most homeowners have homeowners\u2019 insurance (and are\nrequired to do so as a condition of taking out a mortgage loan), they are often\nunaware that this does not cover losses from all hazards.&nbsp; Homeowners victimized by recent massive\nhurricanes such as Harvey, Maria, and Sandy were often dismayed to learn that\ntheir homeowners insurance did not cover flooding.&nbsp; (Some homeowners were able to make successful\nclaims by arguing that damage was caused by wind, which was covered.)&nbsp; <\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"alignleft is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/retirementhangout.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/04\/170509112701-10-canada-flooding-0508-super-169-1024x576.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-466\" width=\"400\" height=\"288\"\/><figcaption><em>Credit: CNN.com<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>To protect yourself against the risk of flooding damage to your property, you must take out special <strong><em>flood insurance<\/em><\/strong>.\u00a0 Flood insurance is underwritten by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) and offered by private insurers under the National Flood Insurance Program.\u00a0\u00a0 (In some areas, it\u2019s also possible to get private flood insurance not underwritten by the Federal government.)\u00a0 But most people in areas of high flood risk don\u2019t have it.\u00a0 Only 20% of the residents of coastal New York inundated by Hurricane Sandy had FEMA flood insurance.\u00a0 If you live in a coastal area with flooding risk from hurricanes (such as New York?!), or in a river\u2019s floodplain or hazard zone, you should seriously consider this insurance.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Similarly, standard homeowners\u2019 insurance does not cover\ndamage from earthquakes.&nbsp; While it is\npossible to get <strong><em>earthquake insurance<\/em><\/strong>, most people who own homes in areas with\nearthquake risk \u2013 this includes the entire West Coast! &#8212; don\u2019t have it.&nbsp; Why not?&nbsp;\nWell, earthquake insurance is expensive and often has a very high\ndeductible, such as 15% of a home\u2019s value, before any benefits are paid.&nbsp; Many people may just decide it isn\u2019t worth\nit.&nbsp; <\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"alignright is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/retirementhangout.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/04\/gettyimages-John-Lund-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-477\" width=\"400\" height=\"306\"\/><figcaption><em>Credit: John Lund, Getty Images<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Equally important, earthquakes are relatively infrequent events and most people haven\u2019t experienced them.&nbsp; People are very bad at evaluating the risk of very infrequent, catastrophic events.&nbsp; Studies have found that we often overestimate the likelihood of fearful, low-probability events, but typically underestimate the consequences of an extreme event, such as a flood.  <a href=\"http:\/\/journal.sjdm.org\/15\/15415\/jdm15415.html\">(Botson, Kunreuther, &amp; Michel-Kerjan, 2015)<\/a>.&nbsp; We are quite risk-averse about frightening, unfamiliar risks and less so when it comes to everyday, familiar risks.&nbsp; Thus people will choose to drive over flying, even though the likelihood of injury or death is far greater for driving.&nbsp; &nbsp;We\u2019re more likely to take a laissez-faire attitude toward nature\u2019s disasters, while working ourseves into high dudgeon about a risk we perceive as being human-caused &#8212; say, the Exxon-Valdez spill.&nbsp; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.heatherlench.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/07\/slovic.pdf\">(Slovic, 1987)<\/a>.&nbsp; <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>People\u2019s perception of risk is heavily influenced by emotion, and we find it hard to get excited about an event that hasn\u2019t happened within living memory. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.citylab.com\/environment\/2015\/07\/why-you-dont-really-care-about-the-next-big-one\/398969\/\">&nbsp;(Bliss, 2015)<\/a>.&nbsp; When it comes to earthquakes, we find it easiest to stick our heads in the sand, ostrich-like, and ignore the risk.&nbsp; Don\u2019t do this.&nbsp; If you live in an area with earthquake risk, at least consider getting insurance.&nbsp; An earthquake really could happen and cause massive damage to your home &#8212; and your financial well-being.&nbsp; <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Liability and\nlitigation.&nbsp; <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>What else could go wrong in a big way and threaten your\nfinancial well-being?&nbsp; In our litigious\nsociety, it sometimes seems that people sue one another as a first rather than\nlast resort to resolve grievances.&nbsp; An\nuninsured worker could fall off your roof, your child could be involved in an\ninjury auto accident, or your neighbor could decide that your trees are an\nexistential threat.&nbsp;&nbsp; Your risk of being sued\ngoes up as your net worth increases \u2013 which makes older people who have\nacquired significant savings and assets an attractive target.&nbsp; The primary defenses against liability claims\n<strong><em>are\nauto insurance<\/em><\/strong> and <strong><em>homeowners\u2019 insurance<\/em><\/strong>, which cover\nthe most common sources of liability claims and lawsuits.&nbsp; Typical homeowners and auto policies protect\nyou against liability for damage to third parties up to some limit, usually\n$300,000 or $500,000.&nbsp; Most people have\nthese kinds of insurance, so they\u2019re good\u2026 right?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Not necessarily.&nbsp;\nAnyone who reads the newspaper knows how common multi-million dollar\ndamage awards are.&nbsp; If your net worth is\nabove the liability limit of your auto and homeowners policies, you might still\nbe at risk.&nbsp; <strong><em>Umbrella insurance<\/em><\/strong>, which\nlayers on top of your auto and homeowner policies, can provide the additional\nprotection you need.&nbsp; Fortunately,\numbrella insurance is not that expensive \u2013 typically $150 to $350 per million\nof coverage.&nbsp; &nbsp;If your net worth is $1M or more, you should\nstrongly consider getting this coverage.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Health and Medical\nProblems<\/strong>.&nbsp; <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Health issues and medical costs increase as we age.&nbsp; According to the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.kff.org\/infographic\/medicaids-role-in-nursing-home-care\/\">Kaiser Family Foundation<\/a>, retirees on Medicare spend three times as much on health expenses as working households.&nbsp; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fidelity.com\/viewpoints\/personal-finance\/plan-for-rising-health-care-costs\">Fidelity<\/a> estimates that a typical 65-year-old couple can expect to spend about $285,000 (in today\u2019s dollars) on health expenses in the future \u2013 not including long-term care!&nbsp; For some \u2013 those with chronic health conditions or who need long-term care &#8212; the costs will be quite a bit higher.&nbsp; What can you do?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>First, recognize that health care is a significant piece of\na retiree\u2019s budget that must be budgeted for.&nbsp;\nMany employers cover much of the health insurance cost for their\nemployees, so a lot of us have been shielded from these costs during our working\nlives.&nbsp; Once we retire, it can be\nshocking to see that, even with Medicare coverage once we turn 65, our health\ncare premiums actually go up.&nbsp; If you\nretire before age 65, your costs will be even higher; you will need to cover the\ncost of insurance through COBRA or private insurance premiums.&nbsp; &nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As daunting as the cost of <strong><em>health insurance <\/em><\/strong>is, it is absolutely critical for protecting you against the direct cost of medical expenses that could otherwise quickly bankrupt you if you experienced a serious injury or illness.&nbsp; Health insurance is a way of turning the unpredictable, potentially devastating health costs of aging into something predictable.&nbsp;&nbsp; The Fidelity estimate cited above is, in fact, primarily made up of insurance premiums, and works out to about $7,000 each per year for a couple with average life expectancies. &nbsp;It\u2019s a bit like buying an extended warranty on your aging car, except that in this case the beloved old jalopy is you!&nbsp; <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><em>Medicare <\/em><\/strong>is a great deal once you turn 65.\u00a0 <em>Part A<\/em>, hospitalization, is free (well, you\u2019ve already paid for it) while <em>Part B<\/em>, which covers doctors and caregivers, is a reasonable $1600 per year.\u00a0 You\u2019ll also need <em>Part D<\/em> (prescription drug) coverage.\u00a0 You\u2019ll probably also want either a <em>Medigap <\/em>plan, which covers some of the coverage gaps and copays, or a <em>Medicare Advantage<\/em> plan, which conveniently ties all the Parts together.\u00a0 It gets pretty complicated.\u00a0 Fortunately (!), as anyone who has approached 65 knows, you will receive literally hundreds of invitations from health care industry salespeople eager to explain it all to you.\u00a0 Try to find someone you trust who <em>isn\u2019t<\/em> selling a plan, perhaps your employer\u2019s benefits department or an adviser supported by Medicare or your state government.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Remember to sign up close to your 65<sup>th<\/sup> birthday, or you could end up paying higher premiums long-term.&nbsp; Also, Medicare doesn\u2019t cover you while you\u2019re overseas \u2013 so if you plan to travel or live overseas, look for a Medigap or Advantage program that does, or get travel medical insurance.&nbsp; Oh, and tell your elected representatives to stop dilly-dallying and fix Medicare\u2019s long-term funding gap!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The list of potentially catastrophic risks to your retirement grows long, but we\u2019re not done.\u00a0 Take a break, listen to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=WiXCD44t7bQ\">this beautiful oh-so-sad folk song about  a life of heartbreak <\/a>and check back in in a few days to read my next post, where I\u2019ll finish the story.\u00a0 See you then!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>References<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.citylab.com\/environment\/2015\/07\/why-you-dont-really-care-about-the-next-big-one\/398969\/\">Bliss, Laura.&nbsp; (2015, July 21).&nbsp; Why You Don\u2019t Really Care About the Next Big One. <\/a><em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.citylab.com\/environment\/2015\/07\/why-you-dont-really-care-about-the-next-big-one\/398969\/\">CityLab<\/a><\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.citylab.com\/environment\/2015\/07\/why-you-dont-really-care-about-the-next-big-one\/398969\/\">.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/journal.sjdm.org\/15\/15415\/jdm15415.html\">Botzen, Kunreuther and Michel-Kerjan.&nbsp; (2015, July).&nbsp; Divergence between individual perception and objective indicators of tail risks: Evidence from floodplain residents in New York City. <\/a><em><a href=\"http:\/\/journal.sjdm.org\/15\/15415\/jdm15415.html\">&nbsp;Judgment and Decision-making<\/a><\/em><a href=\"http:\/\/journal.sjdm.org\/15\/15415\/jdm15415.html\">.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.fidelity.com\/viewpoints\/personal-finance\/plan-for-rising-health-care-costs\">Fidelity.&nbsp; (2019, April 1).&nbsp; How to plan for rising health care costs. &nbsp;<\/a><em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.fidelity.com\/viewpoints\/personal-finance\/plan-for-rising-health-care-costs\">Viewpoints<\/a><\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.fidelity.com\/viewpoints\/personal-finance\/plan-for-rising-health-care-costs\">.&nbsp; <\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.kff.org\/infographic\/medicaids-role-in-nursing-home-care\/\">Kaiser Family Foundation.  (2017, June 20).  Medicaid&#8217;s Role in Nursing Home Care.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.soa.org\/globalassets\/assets\/Files\/resources\/research-report\/2017\/shocks-inexpected-factor-retirement.pdf\">Rappaport, Anna.  (2017).  Shocks and the Unexpected: An Importanat Factdor in Retirement.  <\/a><em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.soa.org\/globalassets\/assets\/Files\/resources\/research-report\/2017\/shocks-inexpected-factor-retirement.pdf\">Society of Actuaries<\/a><\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.soa.org\/globalassets\/assets\/Files\/resources\/research-report\/2017\/shocks-inexpected-factor-retirement.pdf\">.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.heatherlench.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/07\/slovic.pdf\">Slovic, Paul.&nbsp; (1987, April 17).&nbsp; Perception of Risk. <\/a><em><a href=\"http:\/\/www.heatherlench.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/07\/slovic.pdf\">Science<\/a><\/em><a href=\"http:\/\/www.heatherlench.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/07\/slovic.pdf\">.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.newyorker.com\/tech\/annals-of-technology\/how-to-stay-safe-when-the-big-one-comes\">Shultz, Kathryn.&nbsp; (2015, July 28).&nbsp; How to Stay Safe When the Big One Comes.&nbsp; <\/a><em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.newyorker.com\/tech\/annals-of-technology\/how-to-stay-safe-when-the-big-one-comes\">The New Yorker.<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/sites.hks.harvard.edu\/fs\/rzeckhau\/overreaction_risks.pdf\">Sunstein, Cass R. and Zeckhauser, Richard.&nbsp; (2011, Jan 13).&nbsp; Overreaction to Fearsome Risks. &nbsp;<\/a><em><a href=\"https:\/\/sites.hks.harvard.edu\/fs\/rzeckhau\/overreaction_risks.pdf\">Environmental Resource Economics<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.wiserwomen.org\/images\/imagefiles\/impact-running-out-of-money-retirement-research-2012.pdf\">Society of Actuaries, Urban Institute, WISER. (2012). The Impact of Running Out of Money in Retirement.<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>You\u2019ve worked hard for 30 or 40 years, raised a bunch of kids and launched them into adulthood, and now you\u2019re excited to embark on the next phase in your life \u2013 stepping back from the daily grind, traveling to far-off lands, having time to enjoy your hobbies, and trying new things.&nbsp; You\u2019ve managed to accumulate a tidy nest egg and, with Social Security, don\u2019t anticipate needing to withdraw more than 4% of it per year.&nbsp; (Bill Bengen would be proud!)&nbsp; Your mortgage is paid off, you have a plan for the future, and you\u2019re still in love with your spouse.&nbsp; &nbsp;Things look good.&nbsp; What could possibly go wrong? Unfortunately, we all know the answer to this question.&nbsp; If there\u2019s one thing we can count on, it\u2019s that life won\u2019t unfold according to our carefully laid plans.&nbsp; Life-altering trials and disasters have been a theme in stories and song from time immemorial, afflicting the devout in the Books of Job and Jonah; the mighty in Homer\u2019s Odyssey and Shakespeare&#8217;s King Lear; and everyman (and woman) in mournful folk tales and songs, with their tales of woe. While tragedy and trial may inspire great literature and sappy country songs, it is something we generally try to avoid in our own lives. Some of life\u2019s surprises have the potential to be downright catastrophic, bad enough to completely derail our carefully constructed financial plans and therefore our lives in retirement.\u00a0 We can anticipate some risks &#8212; such as fire or flood or health problems \u2013 although we don\u2019t know whether they will happen to us.\u00a0 These are the \u201cknown unknowns.\u201d\u00a0 Then there are the \u201cunknown unknowns\u201d \u2013 those disasters we can\u2019t even imagine today.\u00a0 I\u2019ll bet that being buried under a lahar from a reawakened Mt. Rainier, our picture-postcard mountain neighbor, is not on the radar of most people living in my city of Seattle.\u00a0 According to a report from the Society of Actuaries, one in five retirees has experienced four or more financial \u2018shocks\u2019 in retirement, with only 28% (just 13% of widowed retirees) experiencing no such shocks.\u00a0 The most common shocks were things like home repairs and unexpected dental expenses, but the most troublesome and difficult were long-term care, divorce, and long-term financial help to children.\u00a0 Widowhood itself was a shock, resulting in a drop in household income and other problems.\u00a0 This post seems to be heading in a dark direction, and you may be tempted to click away to something more pleasant, such as a viral cat video.&nbsp; (Although these can be bleak, too \u2013 check out Henri, the Cat with Ennui.)&nbsp; Yes, life is full of risks, but what\u2019s the point in dwelling on them?&nbsp; After all, there\u2019s little or nothing we can do to prevent these things from happening, right?&nbsp; &nbsp;But wait &#8212; we may be powerless to prevent many bad things from happening \u2013 but we can take steps to keep these catastrophes from wrecking our finances and upending our lives.&nbsp; Good retirement planning doesn\u2019t mean just mapping out what happens if all goes well; it also means preparing as best you can for possible setbacks and disasters.&nbsp; If you\u2019ve been responsible enough to plan your retirement, you owe it to yourself to take some fairly simple steps to prepare for and mitigate some of the bigger risks out there.&nbsp; \u201cGood retirement planning doesn\u2019t mean just mapping out what happens if all goes well\u201d A word of warning: some suggestions for mitigating risk are going to make me sound like a shill for the insurance industry.\u00a0 Many people take an understandably jaundiced view of insurance companies, whose business model too often seems to consist of collecting money from people for years during good times, then looking for ways to deny claims when asked to pay up.\u00a0 But insurance exists for good reason.\u00a0 It allows individuals to pool risk and protect against low probability events with huge consequences.\u00a0\u00a0 A healthy person in his or her forties is unlikely to die anytime soon \u2013 but if he or she did, the effect of lost earnings on a young family could be financially devastating.\u00a0 Life insurance protects against this possibility, at a modest cost.\u00a0 While the expected value of the insurance (premiums vs. financial impact times likelihood of dying) may be negative, it\u2019s still worth it to most people to protect against the possibility of an untimely death and its devastating consequences on loved ones left behind.\u00a0 \u201cInsurance exists for good reason.&nbsp; It allows individuals to pool risk and protect against low probability events with huge consequences.\u201d Let\u2019s consider some specific risks and what you might do to protect yourself against them. Fire, theft, and property damage.&nbsp; Most peoples\u2019 biggest tangible asset is their home.&nbsp; A fire or other disaster can cause hundreds of thousands of dollars worth of damage or even result in a total loss.&nbsp; Fortunately, the majority of people have this risk covered via homeowners\u2019 insurance.&nbsp; Make sure you have adequate coverage for valuable items like jewelry, Oriental carpets, and artwork.&nbsp; Review your coverage every few years; you might be overinsured due to valuation \u201ccreep,\u201d or find that another insurer offers better coverage for less.&nbsp; In most states, you can check the complaint history of a new insurer you\u2019re considering with your state insurance commissioner.&nbsp; &nbsp;If you don\u2019t own a home, you might still consider renters\u2019 insurance.&nbsp;&nbsp; The loss of all your stuff might not be as devastating as the loss of a home, but still could be surprisingly expensive to replace.&nbsp; Natural disasters.&nbsp; While most homeowners have homeowners\u2019 insurance (and are required to do so as a condition of taking out a mortgage loan), they are often unaware that this does not cover losses from all hazards.&nbsp; Homeowners victimized by recent massive hurricanes such as Harvey, Maria, and Sandy were often dismayed to learn that their homeowners insurance did not cover flooding.&nbsp; (Some homeowners were able to make successful claims by arguing that damage was caused by wind, which was covered.)&nbsp; To protect yourself against the risk of flooding damage to your property, you must take out special flood insurance.\u00a0 Flood insurance is underwritten by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) and offered by private insurers under the National Flood Insurance Program.\u00a0\u00a0 (In some areas, it\u2019s also possible to get private flood insurance not underwritten by the Federal government.)\u00a0 But most people in areas of high flood risk don\u2019t have it.\u00a0 Only 20% of the residents of coastal New York inundated by Hurricane Sandy had FEMA flood insurance.\u00a0 If you live in a coastal area with flooding risk from hurricanes (such as New York?!), or in a river\u2019s floodplain or hazard zone, you should seriously consider this insurance.\u00a0 Similarly, standard homeowners\u2019 insurance does not cover damage from earthquakes.&nbsp; While it is possible to get earthquake insurance, most people who own homes in areas with earthquake risk \u2013 this includes the entire West Coast! &#8212; don\u2019t have it.&nbsp; Why not?&nbsp; Well, earthquake insurance is expensive and often has a very high deductible, such as 15% of a home\u2019s value, before any benefits are paid.&nbsp; Many people may just decide it isn\u2019t worth it.&nbsp; Equally important, earthquakes are relatively infrequent events and most people haven\u2019t experienced them.&nbsp; People are very bad at evaluating the risk of very infrequent, catastrophic events.&nbsp; Studies have found that we often overestimate the likelihood of fearful, low-probability events, but typically underestimate the consequences of an extreme event, such as a flood. (Botson, Kunreuther, &amp; Michel-Kerjan, 2015).&nbsp; We are quite risk-averse about frightening, unfamiliar risks and less so when it comes to everyday, familiar risks.&nbsp; Thus people will choose to drive over flying, even though the likelihood of injury or death is far greater for driving.&nbsp; &nbsp;We\u2019re more likely to take a laissez-faire attitude toward nature\u2019s disasters, while working ourseves into high dudgeon about a risk we perceive as being human-caused &#8212; say, the Exxon-Valdez spill.&nbsp; (Slovic, 1987).&nbsp; People\u2019s perception of risk is heavily influenced by emotion, and we find it hard to get excited about an event that hasn\u2019t happened within living memory. &nbsp;(Bliss, 2015).&nbsp; When it comes to earthquakes, we find it easiest to stick our heads in the sand, ostrich-like, and ignore the risk.&nbsp; Don\u2019t do this.&nbsp; If you live in an area with earthquake risk, at least consider getting insurance.&nbsp; An earthquake really could happen and cause massive damage to your home &#8212; and your financial well-being.&nbsp; Liability and litigation.&nbsp; What else could go wrong in a big way and threaten your financial well-being?&nbsp; In our litigious society, it sometimes seems that people sue one another as a first rather than last resort to resolve grievances.&nbsp; An uninsured worker could fall off your roof, your child could be involved in an injury auto accident, or your neighbor could decide that your trees are an existential threat.&nbsp;&nbsp; Your risk of being sued goes up as your net worth increases \u2013 which makes older people who have acquired significant savings and assets an attractive target.&nbsp; The primary defenses against liability claims are auto insurance and homeowners\u2019 insurance, which cover the most common sources of liability claims and lawsuits.&nbsp; Typical homeowners and auto policies protect you against liability for damage to third parties up to some limit, usually $300,000 or $500,000.&nbsp; Most people have these kinds of insurance, so they\u2019re good\u2026 right? Not necessarily.&nbsp; Anyone who reads the newspaper knows how common multi-million dollar damage awards are.&nbsp; If your net worth is above the liability limit of your auto and homeowners policies, you might still be at risk.&nbsp; Umbrella insurance, which layers on top of your auto and homeowner policies, can provide the additional protection you need.&nbsp; Fortunately, umbrella insurance is not that expensive \u2013 typically $150 to $350 per million of coverage.&nbsp; &nbsp;If your net worth is $1M or more, you should strongly consider getting this coverage. Health and Medical Problems.&nbsp; Health issues and medical costs increase as we age.&nbsp; According to the Kaiser Family Foundation, retirees on Medicare spend three times as much on health expenses as working households.&nbsp; Fidelity estimates that a typical 65-year-old couple can expect to spend about $285,000 (in today\u2019s dollars) on health expenses in the future \u2013 not including long-term care!&nbsp; For some \u2013 those with chronic health conditions or who need long-term care &#8212; the costs will be quite a bit higher.&nbsp; What can you do? First, recognize that health care is a significant piece of a retiree\u2019s budget that must be budgeted for.&nbsp; Many employers cover much of the health insurance cost for their employees, so a lot of us have been shielded from these costs during our working lives.&nbsp; Once we retire, it can be shocking to see that, even with Medicare coverage once we turn 65, our health care premiums actually go up.&nbsp; If you retire before age 65, your costs will be even higher; you will need to cover the cost of insurance through COBRA or private insurance premiums.&nbsp; &nbsp; As daunting as the cost of health insurance is, it is absolutely critical for protecting you against the direct cost of medical expenses that could otherwise quickly bankrupt you if you experienced a serious injury or illness.&nbsp; Health insurance is a way of turning the unpredictable, potentially devastating health costs of aging into something predictable.&nbsp;&nbsp; The Fidelity estimate cited above is, in fact, primarily made up of insurance premiums, and works out to about $7,000 each per year for a couple with average life expectancies. &nbsp;It\u2019s a bit like buying an extended warranty on your aging car, except that in this case the beloved old jalopy is you!&nbsp; Medicare is a great deal once you turn 65.\u00a0 Part A, hospitalization, is free (well, you\u2019ve already paid for it) while Part B, which covers doctors and caregivers, is a reasonable $1600 per year.\u00a0 You\u2019ll also need Part D (prescription drug) coverage.\u00a0 You\u2019ll probably also want either a Medigap plan, which covers some of the coverage gaps and copays, or a Medicare Advantage plan, which conveniently ties all the Parts together.\u00a0 It gets&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[40,41,42,43,39,23,5,38],"class_list":["post-441","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-retirement-planning","tag-earthquake-insurance","tag-flood-insurance","tag-health-insurance","tag-hurricane-insurance-coverage","tag-insurance","tag-retirement-finance","tag-retirement-planning","tag-risk-management"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Retirement \u2013 What Could Go Wrong? - Retirement Hangout<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/retirementhangout.com\/index.php\/2019\/04\/28\/retirement-what-could-go-wrong\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Retirement \u2013 What Could Go Wrong? - Retirement Hangout\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"You\u2019ve worked hard for 30 or 40 years, raised a bunch of kids and launched them into adulthood, and now you\u2019re excited to embark on the next phase in your life \u2013 stepping back from the daily grind, traveling to far-off lands, having time to enjoy your hobbies, and trying new things.&nbsp; You\u2019ve managed to accumulate a tidy nest egg and, with Social Security, don\u2019t anticipate needing to withdraw more than 4% of it per year.&nbsp; (Bill Bengen would be proud!)&nbsp; Your mortgage is paid off, you have a plan for the future, and you\u2019re still in love with your spouse.&nbsp; &nbsp;Things look good.&nbsp; What could possibly go wrong? Unfortunately, we all know the answer to this question.&nbsp; If there\u2019s one thing we can count on, it\u2019s that life won\u2019t unfold according to our carefully laid plans.&nbsp; Life-altering trials and disasters have been a theme in stories and song from time immemorial, afflicting the devout in the Books of Job and Jonah; the mighty in Homer\u2019s Odyssey and Shakespeare&#8217;s King Lear; and everyman (and woman) in mournful folk tales and songs, with their tales of woe. While tragedy and trial may inspire great literature and sappy country songs, it is something we generally try to avoid in our own lives. Some of life\u2019s surprises have the potential to be downright catastrophic, bad enough to completely derail our carefully constructed financial plans and therefore our lives in retirement.\u00a0 We can anticipate some risks &#8212; such as fire or flood or health problems \u2013 although we don\u2019t know whether they will happen to us.\u00a0 These are the \u201cknown unknowns.\u201d\u00a0 Then there are the \u201cunknown unknowns\u201d \u2013 those disasters we can\u2019t even imagine today.\u00a0 I\u2019ll bet that being buried under a lahar from a reawakened Mt. Rainier, our picture-postcard mountain neighbor, is not on the radar of most people living in my city of Seattle.\u00a0 According to a report from the Society of Actuaries, one in five retirees has experienced four or more financial \u2018shocks\u2019 in retirement, with only 28% (just 13% of widowed retirees) experiencing no such shocks.\u00a0 The most common shocks were things like home repairs and unexpected dental expenses, but the most troublesome and difficult were long-term care, divorce, and long-term financial help to children.\u00a0 Widowhood itself was a shock, resulting in a drop in household income and other problems.\u00a0 This post seems to be heading in a dark direction, and you may be tempted to click away to something more pleasant, such as a viral cat video.&nbsp; (Although these can be bleak, too \u2013 check out Henri, the Cat with Ennui.)&nbsp; Yes, life is full of risks, but what\u2019s the point in dwelling on them?&nbsp; After all, there\u2019s little or nothing we can do to prevent these things from happening, right?&nbsp; &nbsp;But wait &#8212; we may be powerless to prevent many bad things from happening \u2013 but we can take steps to keep these catastrophes from wrecking our finances and upending our lives.&nbsp; Good retirement planning doesn\u2019t mean just mapping out what happens if all goes well; it also means preparing as best you can for possible setbacks and disasters.&nbsp; If you\u2019ve been responsible enough to plan your retirement, you owe it to yourself to take some fairly simple steps to prepare for and mitigate some of the bigger risks out there.&nbsp; \u201cGood retirement planning doesn\u2019t mean just mapping out what happens if all goes well\u201d A word of warning: some suggestions for mitigating risk are going to make me sound like a shill for the insurance industry.\u00a0 Many people take an understandably jaundiced view of insurance companies, whose business model too often seems to consist of collecting money from people for years during good times, then looking for ways to deny claims when asked to pay up.\u00a0 But insurance exists for good reason.\u00a0 It allows individuals to pool risk and protect against low probability events with huge consequences.\u00a0\u00a0 A healthy person in his or her forties is unlikely to die anytime soon \u2013 but if he or she did, the effect of lost earnings on a young family could be financially devastating.\u00a0 Life insurance protects against this possibility, at a modest cost.\u00a0 While the expected value of the insurance (premiums vs. financial impact times likelihood of dying) may be negative, it\u2019s still worth it to most people to protect against the possibility of an untimely death and its devastating consequences on loved ones left behind.\u00a0 \u201cInsurance exists for good reason.&nbsp; It allows individuals to pool risk and protect against low probability events with huge consequences.\u201d Let\u2019s consider some specific risks and what you might do to protect yourself against them. Fire, theft, and property damage.&nbsp; Most peoples\u2019 biggest tangible asset is their home.&nbsp; A fire or other disaster can cause hundreds of thousands of dollars worth of damage or even result in a total loss.&nbsp; Fortunately, the majority of people have this risk covered via homeowners\u2019 insurance.&nbsp; Make sure you have adequate coverage for valuable items like jewelry, Oriental carpets, and artwork.&nbsp; Review your coverage every few years; you might be overinsured due to valuation \u201ccreep,\u201d or find that another insurer offers better coverage for less.&nbsp; In most states, you can check the complaint history of a new insurer you\u2019re considering with your state insurance commissioner.&nbsp; &nbsp;If you don\u2019t own a home, you might still consider renters\u2019 insurance.&nbsp;&nbsp; The loss of all your stuff might not be as devastating as the loss of a home, but still could be surprisingly expensive to replace.&nbsp; Natural disasters.&nbsp; While most homeowners have homeowners\u2019 insurance (and are required to do so as a condition of taking out a mortgage loan), they are often unaware that this does not cover losses from all hazards.&nbsp; Homeowners victimized by recent massive hurricanes such as Harvey, Maria, and Sandy were often dismayed to learn that their homeowners insurance did not cover flooding.&nbsp; (Some homeowners were able to make successful claims by arguing that damage was caused by wind, which was covered.)&nbsp; To protect yourself against the risk of flooding damage to your property, you must take out special flood insurance.\u00a0 Flood insurance is underwritten by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) and offered by private insurers under the National Flood Insurance Program.\u00a0\u00a0 (In some areas, it\u2019s also possible to get private flood insurance not underwritten by the Federal government.)\u00a0 But most people in areas of high flood risk don\u2019t have it.\u00a0 Only 20% of the residents of coastal New York inundated by Hurricane Sandy had FEMA flood insurance.\u00a0 If you live in a coastal area with flooding risk from hurricanes (such as New York?!), or in a river\u2019s floodplain or hazard zone, you should seriously consider this insurance.\u00a0 Similarly, standard homeowners\u2019 insurance does not cover damage from earthquakes.&nbsp; While it is possible to get earthquake insurance, most people who own homes in areas with earthquake risk \u2013 this includes the entire West Coast! &#8212; don\u2019t have it.&nbsp; Why not?&nbsp; Well, earthquake insurance is expensive and often has a very high deductible, such as 15% of a home\u2019s value, before any benefits are paid.&nbsp; Many people may just decide it isn\u2019t worth it.&nbsp; Equally important, earthquakes are relatively infrequent events and most people haven\u2019t experienced them.&nbsp; People are very bad at evaluating the risk of very infrequent, catastrophic events.&nbsp; Studies have found that we often overestimate the likelihood of fearful, low-probability events, but typically underestimate the consequences of an extreme event, such as a flood. (Botson, Kunreuther, &amp; Michel-Kerjan, 2015).&nbsp; We are quite risk-averse about frightening, unfamiliar risks and less so when it comes to everyday, familiar risks.&nbsp; Thus people will choose to drive over flying, even though the likelihood of injury or death is far greater for driving.&nbsp; &nbsp;We\u2019re more likely to take a laissez-faire attitude toward nature\u2019s disasters, while working ourseves into high dudgeon about a risk we perceive as being human-caused &#8212; say, the Exxon-Valdez spill.&nbsp; (Slovic, 1987).&nbsp; People\u2019s perception of risk is heavily influenced by emotion, and we find it hard to get excited about an event that hasn\u2019t happened within living memory. &nbsp;(Bliss, 2015).&nbsp; When it comes to earthquakes, we find it easiest to stick our heads in the sand, ostrich-like, and ignore the risk.&nbsp; Don\u2019t do this.&nbsp; If you live in an area with earthquake risk, at least consider getting insurance.&nbsp; An earthquake really could happen and cause massive damage to your home &#8212; and your financial well-being.&nbsp; Liability and litigation.&nbsp; What else could go wrong in a big way and threaten your financial well-being?&nbsp; In our litigious society, it sometimes seems that people sue one another as a first rather than last resort to resolve grievances.&nbsp; An uninsured worker could fall off your roof, your child could be involved in an injury auto accident, or your neighbor could decide that your trees are an existential threat.&nbsp;&nbsp; Your risk of being sued goes up as your net worth increases \u2013 which makes older people who have acquired significant savings and assets an attractive target.&nbsp; The primary defenses against liability claims are auto insurance and homeowners\u2019 insurance, which cover the most common sources of liability claims and lawsuits.&nbsp; Typical homeowners and auto policies protect you against liability for damage to third parties up to some limit, usually $300,000 or $500,000.&nbsp; Most people have these kinds of insurance, so they\u2019re good\u2026 right? Not necessarily.&nbsp; Anyone who reads the newspaper knows how common multi-million dollar damage awards are.&nbsp; If your net worth is above the liability limit of your auto and homeowners policies, you might still be at risk.&nbsp; Umbrella insurance, which layers on top of your auto and homeowner policies, can provide the additional protection you need.&nbsp; Fortunately, umbrella insurance is not that expensive \u2013 typically $150 to $350 per million of coverage.&nbsp; &nbsp;If your net worth is $1M or more, you should strongly consider getting this coverage. Health and Medical Problems.&nbsp; Health issues and medical costs increase as we age.&nbsp; According to the Kaiser Family Foundation, retirees on Medicare spend three times as much on health expenses as working households.&nbsp; Fidelity estimates that a typical 65-year-old couple can expect to spend about $285,000 (in today\u2019s dollars) on health expenses in the future \u2013 not including long-term care!&nbsp; For some \u2013 those with chronic health conditions or who need long-term care &#8212; the costs will be quite a bit higher.&nbsp; What can you do? First, recognize that health care is a significant piece of a retiree\u2019s budget that must be budgeted for.&nbsp; Many employers cover much of the health insurance cost for their employees, so a lot of us have been shielded from these costs during our working lives.&nbsp; Once we retire, it can be shocking to see that, even with Medicare coverage once we turn 65, our health care premiums actually go up.&nbsp; If you retire before age 65, your costs will be even higher; you will need to cover the cost of insurance through COBRA or private insurance premiums.&nbsp; &nbsp; As daunting as the cost of health insurance is, it is absolutely critical for protecting you against the direct cost of medical expenses that could otherwise quickly bankrupt you if you experienced a serious injury or illness.&nbsp; Health insurance is a way of turning the unpredictable, potentially devastating health costs of aging into something predictable.&nbsp;&nbsp; The Fidelity estimate cited above is, in fact, primarily made up of insurance premiums, and works out to about $7,000 each per year for a couple with average life expectancies. &nbsp;It\u2019s a bit like buying an extended warranty on your aging car, except that in this case the beloved old jalopy is you!&nbsp; Medicare is a great deal once you turn 65.\u00a0 Part A, hospitalization, is free (well, you\u2019ve already paid for it) while Part B, which covers doctors and caregivers, is a reasonable $1600 per year.\u00a0 You\u2019ll also need Part D (prescription drug) coverage.\u00a0 You\u2019ll probably also want either a Medigap plan, which covers some of the coverage gaps and copays, or a Medicare Advantage plan, which conveniently ties all the Parts together.\u00a0 It gets...\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/retirementhangout.com\/index.php\/2019\/04\/28\/retirement-what-could-go-wrong\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Retirement Hangout\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2019-04-28T07:02:53+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2019-04-28T07:03:04+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"http:\/\/retirementhangout.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/04\/Art-in-Clay-Jonah-and-the-Whale-2.jpg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Hangout Host\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Hangout Host\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"12 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/retirementhangout.com\\\/index.php\\\/2019\\\/04\\\/28\\\/retirement-what-could-go-wrong\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/retirementhangout.com\\\/index.php\\\/2019\\\/04\\\/28\\\/retirement-what-could-go-wrong\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Hangout Host\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/retirementhangout.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/8c4ae01981f8f32c14283392437fea2a\"},\"headline\":\"Retirement \u2013 What Could Go Wrong?\",\"datePublished\":\"2019-04-28T07:02:53+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2019-04-28T07:03:04+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/retirementhangout.com\\\/index.php\\\/2019\\\/04\\\/28\\\/retirement-what-could-go-wrong\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":2439,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/retirementhangout.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/8c4ae01981f8f32c14283392437fea2a\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/retirementhangout.com\\\/index.php\\\/2019\\\/04\\\/28\\\/retirement-what-could-go-wrong\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"http:\\\/\\\/retirementhangout.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2019\\\/04\\\/Art-in-Clay-Jonah-and-the-Whale-2.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"earthquake insurance\",\"flood insurance\",\"health insurance\",\"hurricane insurance coverage\",\"insurance\",\"retirement finance\",\"Retirement planning\",\"risk management\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Retirement planning\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/retirementhangout.com\\\/index.php\\\/2019\\\/04\\\/28\\\/retirement-what-could-go-wrong\\\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/retirementhangout.com\\\/index.php\\\/2019\\\/04\\\/28\\\/retirement-what-could-go-wrong\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/retirementhangout.com\\\/index.php\\\/2019\\\/04\\\/28\\\/retirement-what-could-go-wrong\\\/\",\"name\":\"Retirement \u2013 What Could Go Wrong? 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- Retirement Hangout","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/retirementhangout.com\/index.php\/2019\/04\/28\/retirement-what-could-go-wrong\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Retirement \u2013 What Could Go Wrong? - Retirement Hangout","og_description":"You\u2019ve worked hard for 30 or 40 years, raised a bunch of kids and launched them into adulthood, and now you\u2019re excited to embark on the next phase in your life \u2013 stepping back from the daily grind, traveling to far-off lands, having time to enjoy your hobbies, and trying new things.&nbsp; You\u2019ve managed to accumulate a tidy nest egg and, with Social Security, don\u2019t anticipate needing to withdraw more than 4% of it per year.&nbsp; (Bill Bengen would be proud!)&nbsp; Your mortgage is paid off, you have a plan for the future, and you\u2019re still in love with your spouse.&nbsp; &nbsp;Things look good.&nbsp; What could possibly go wrong? Unfortunately, we all know the answer to this question.&nbsp; If there\u2019s one thing we can count on, it\u2019s that life won\u2019t unfold according to our carefully laid plans.&nbsp; Life-altering trials and disasters have been a theme in stories and song from time immemorial, afflicting the devout in the Books of Job and Jonah; the mighty in Homer\u2019s Odyssey and Shakespeare&#8217;s King Lear; and everyman (and woman) in mournful folk tales and songs, with their tales of woe. While tragedy and trial may inspire great literature and sappy country songs, it is something we generally try to avoid in our own lives. Some of life\u2019s surprises have the potential to be downright catastrophic, bad enough to completely derail our carefully constructed financial plans and therefore our lives in retirement.\u00a0 We can anticipate some risks &#8212; such as fire or flood or health problems \u2013 although we don\u2019t know whether they will happen to us.\u00a0 These are the \u201cknown unknowns.\u201d\u00a0 Then there are the \u201cunknown unknowns\u201d \u2013 those disasters we can\u2019t even imagine today.\u00a0 I\u2019ll bet that being buried under a lahar from a reawakened Mt. Rainier, our picture-postcard mountain neighbor, is not on the radar of most people living in my city of Seattle.\u00a0 According to a report from the Society of Actuaries, one in five retirees has experienced four or more financial \u2018shocks\u2019 in retirement, with only 28% (just 13% of widowed retirees) experiencing no such shocks.\u00a0 The most common shocks were things like home repairs and unexpected dental expenses, but the most troublesome and difficult were long-term care, divorce, and long-term financial help to children.\u00a0 Widowhood itself was a shock, resulting in a drop in household income and other problems.\u00a0 This post seems to be heading in a dark direction, and you may be tempted to click away to something more pleasant, such as a viral cat video.&nbsp; (Although these can be bleak, too \u2013 check out Henri, the Cat with Ennui.)&nbsp; Yes, life is full of risks, but what\u2019s the point in dwelling on them?&nbsp; After all, there\u2019s little or nothing we can do to prevent these things from happening, right?&nbsp; &nbsp;But wait &#8212; we may be powerless to prevent many bad things from happening \u2013 but we can take steps to keep these catastrophes from wrecking our finances and upending our lives.&nbsp; Good retirement planning doesn\u2019t mean just mapping out what happens if all goes well; it also means preparing as best you can for possible setbacks and disasters.&nbsp; If you\u2019ve been responsible enough to plan your retirement, you owe it to yourself to take some fairly simple steps to prepare for and mitigate some of the bigger risks out there.&nbsp; \u201cGood retirement planning doesn\u2019t mean just mapping out what happens if all goes well\u201d A word of warning: some suggestions for mitigating risk are going to make me sound like a shill for the insurance industry.\u00a0 Many people take an understandably jaundiced view of insurance companies, whose business model too often seems to consist of collecting money from people for years during good times, then looking for ways to deny claims when asked to pay up.\u00a0 But insurance exists for good reason.\u00a0 It allows individuals to pool risk and protect against low probability events with huge consequences.\u00a0\u00a0 A healthy person in his or her forties is unlikely to die anytime soon \u2013 but if he or she did, the effect of lost earnings on a young family could be financially devastating.\u00a0 Life insurance protects against this possibility, at a modest cost.\u00a0 While the expected value of the insurance (premiums vs. financial impact times likelihood of dying) may be negative, it\u2019s still worth it to most people to protect against the possibility of an untimely death and its devastating consequences on loved ones left behind.\u00a0 \u201cInsurance exists for good reason.&nbsp; It allows individuals to pool risk and protect against low probability events with huge consequences.\u201d Let\u2019s consider some specific risks and what you might do to protect yourself against them. Fire, theft, and property damage.&nbsp; Most peoples\u2019 biggest tangible asset is their home.&nbsp; A fire or other disaster can cause hundreds of thousands of dollars worth of damage or even result in a total loss.&nbsp; Fortunately, the majority of people have this risk covered via homeowners\u2019 insurance.&nbsp; Make sure you have adequate coverage for valuable items like jewelry, Oriental carpets, and artwork.&nbsp; Review your coverage every few years; you might be overinsured due to valuation \u201ccreep,\u201d or find that another insurer offers better coverage for less.&nbsp; In most states, you can check the complaint history of a new insurer you\u2019re considering with your state insurance commissioner.&nbsp; &nbsp;If you don\u2019t own a home, you might still consider renters\u2019 insurance.&nbsp;&nbsp; The loss of all your stuff might not be as devastating as the loss of a home, but still could be surprisingly expensive to replace.&nbsp; Natural disasters.&nbsp; While most homeowners have homeowners\u2019 insurance (and are required to do so as a condition of taking out a mortgage loan), they are often unaware that this does not cover losses from all hazards.&nbsp; Homeowners victimized by recent massive hurricanes such as Harvey, Maria, and Sandy were often dismayed to learn that their homeowners insurance did not cover flooding.&nbsp; (Some homeowners were able to make successful claims by arguing that damage was caused by wind, which was covered.)&nbsp; To protect yourself against the risk of flooding damage to your property, you must take out special flood insurance.\u00a0 Flood insurance is underwritten by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) and offered by private insurers under the National Flood Insurance Program.\u00a0\u00a0 (In some areas, it\u2019s also possible to get private flood insurance not underwritten by the Federal government.)\u00a0 But most people in areas of high flood risk don\u2019t have it.\u00a0 Only 20% of the residents of coastal New York inundated by Hurricane Sandy had FEMA flood insurance.\u00a0 If you live in a coastal area with flooding risk from hurricanes (such as New York?!), or in a river\u2019s floodplain or hazard zone, you should seriously consider this insurance.\u00a0 Similarly, standard homeowners\u2019 insurance does not cover damage from earthquakes.&nbsp; While it is possible to get earthquake insurance, most people who own homes in areas with earthquake risk \u2013 this includes the entire West Coast! &#8212; don\u2019t have it.&nbsp; Why not?&nbsp; Well, earthquake insurance is expensive and often has a very high deductible, such as 15% of a home\u2019s value, before any benefits are paid.&nbsp; Many people may just decide it isn\u2019t worth it.&nbsp; Equally important, earthquakes are relatively infrequent events and most people haven\u2019t experienced them.&nbsp; People are very bad at evaluating the risk of very infrequent, catastrophic events.&nbsp; Studies have found that we often overestimate the likelihood of fearful, low-probability events, but typically underestimate the consequences of an extreme event, such as a flood. (Botson, Kunreuther, &amp; Michel-Kerjan, 2015).&nbsp; We are quite risk-averse about frightening, unfamiliar risks and less so when it comes to everyday, familiar risks.&nbsp; Thus people will choose to drive over flying, even though the likelihood of injury or death is far greater for driving.&nbsp; &nbsp;We\u2019re more likely to take a laissez-faire attitude toward nature\u2019s disasters, while working ourseves into high dudgeon about a risk we perceive as being human-caused &#8212; say, the Exxon-Valdez spill.&nbsp; (Slovic, 1987).&nbsp; People\u2019s perception of risk is heavily influenced by emotion, and we find it hard to get excited about an event that hasn\u2019t happened within living memory. &nbsp;(Bliss, 2015).&nbsp; When it comes to earthquakes, we find it easiest to stick our heads in the sand, ostrich-like, and ignore the risk.&nbsp; Don\u2019t do this.&nbsp; If you live in an area with earthquake risk, at least consider getting insurance.&nbsp; An earthquake really could happen and cause massive damage to your home &#8212; and your financial well-being.&nbsp; Liability and litigation.&nbsp; What else could go wrong in a big way and threaten your financial well-being?&nbsp; In our litigious society, it sometimes seems that people sue one another as a first rather than last resort to resolve grievances.&nbsp; An uninsured worker could fall off your roof, your child could be involved in an injury auto accident, or your neighbor could decide that your trees are an existential threat.&nbsp;&nbsp; Your risk of being sued goes up as your net worth increases \u2013 which makes older people who have acquired significant savings and assets an attractive target.&nbsp; The primary defenses against liability claims are auto insurance and homeowners\u2019 insurance, which cover the most common sources of liability claims and lawsuits.&nbsp; Typical homeowners and auto policies protect you against liability for damage to third parties up to some limit, usually $300,000 or $500,000.&nbsp; Most people have these kinds of insurance, so they\u2019re good\u2026 right? Not necessarily.&nbsp; Anyone who reads the newspaper knows how common multi-million dollar damage awards are.&nbsp; If your net worth is above the liability limit of your auto and homeowners policies, you might still be at risk.&nbsp; Umbrella insurance, which layers on top of your auto and homeowner policies, can provide the additional protection you need.&nbsp; Fortunately, umbrella insurance is not that expensive \u2013 typically $150 to $350 per million of coverage.&nbsp; &nbsp;If your net worth is $1M or more, you should strongly consider getting this coverage. Health and Medical Problems.&nbsp; Health issues and medical costs increase as we age.&nbsp; According to the Kaiser Family Foundation, retirees on Medicare spend three times as much on health expenses as working households.&nbsp; Fidelity estimates that a typical 65-year-old couple can expect to spend about $285,000 (in today\u2019s dollars) on health expenses in the future \u2013 not including long-term care!&nbsp; For some \u2013 those with chronic health conditions or who need long-term care &#8212; the costs will be quite a bit higher.&nbsp; What can you do? First, recognize that health care is a significant piece of a retiree\u2019s budget that must be budgeted for.&nbsp; Many employers cover much of the health insurance cost for their employees, so a lot of us have been shielded from these costs during our working lives.&nbsp; Once we retire, it can be shocking to see that, even with Medicare coverage once we turn 65, our health care premiums actually go up.&nbsp; If you retire before age 65, your costs will be even higher; you will need to cover the cost of insurance through COBRA or private insurance premiums.&nbsp; &nbsp; As daunting as the cost of health insurance is, it is absolutely critical for protecting you against the direct cost of medical expenses that could otherwise quickly bankrupt you if you experienced a serious injury or illness.&nbsp; Health insurance is a way of turning the unpredictable, potentially devastating health costs of aging into something predictable.&nbsp;&nbsp; The Fidelity estimate cited above is, in fact, primarily made up of insurance premiums, and works out to about $7,000 each per year for a couple with average life expectancies. &nbsp;It\u2019s a bit like buying an extended warranty on your aging car, except that in this case the beloved old jalopy is you!&nbsp; Medicare is a great deal once you turn 65.\u00a0 Part A, hospitalization, is free (well, you\u2019ve already paid for it) while Part B, which covers doctors and caregivers, is a reasonable $1600 per year.\u00a0 You\u2019ll also need Part D (prescription drug) coverage.\u00a0 You\u2019ll probably also want either a Medigap plan, which covers some of the coverage gaps and copays, or a Medicare Advantage plan, which conveniently ties all the Parts together.\u00a0 It gets...","og_url":"https:\/\/retirementhangout.com\/index.php\/2019\/04\/28\/retirement-what-could-go-wrong\/","og_site_name":"Retirement Hangout","article_published_time":"2019-04-28T07:02:53+00:00","article_modified_time":"2019-04-28T07:03:04+00:00","og_image":[{"url":"http:\/\/retirementhangout.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/04\/Art-in-Clay-Jonah-and-the-Whale-2.jpg","type":"","width":"","height":""}],"author":"Hangout Host","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Hangout Host","Est. reading time":"12 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/retirementhangout.com\/index.php\/2019\/04\/28\/retirement-what-could-go-wrong\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/retirementhangout.com\/index.php\/2019\/04\/28\/retirement-what-could-go-wrong\/"},"author":{"name":"Hangout Host","@id":"https:\/\/retirementhangout.com\/#\/schema\/person\/8c4ae01981f8f32c14283392437fea2a"},"headline":"Retirement \u2013 What Could Go Wrong?","datePublished":"2019-04-28T07:02:53+00:00","dateModified":"2019-04-28T07:03:04+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/retirementhangout.com\/index.php\/2019\/04\/28\/retirement-what-could-go-wrong\/"},"wordCount":2439,"commentCount":0,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/retirementhangout.com\/#\/schema\/person\/8c4ae01981f8f32c14283392437fea2a"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/retirementhangout.com\/index.php\/2019\/04\/28\/retirement-what-could-go-wrong\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"http:\/\/retirementhangout.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/04\/Art-in-Clay-Jonah-and-the-Whale-2.jpg","keywords":["earthquake insurance","flood insurance","health insurance","hurricane insurance coverage","insurance","retirement finance","Retirement planning","risk management"],"articleSection":["Retirement planning"],"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"CommentAction","name":"Comment","target":["https:\/\/retirementhangout.com\/index.php\/2019\/04\/28\/retirement-what-could-go-wrong\/#respond"]}]},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/retirementhangout.com\/index.php\/2019\/04\/28\/retirement-what-could-go-wrong\/","url":"https:\/\/retirementhangout.com\/index.php\/2019\/04\/28\/retirement-what-could-go-wrong\/","name":"Retirement \u2013 What Could Go Wrong? 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